College basketball betting
is the home of over 1000 different betting systems, all providing
handicappers with the opportunity to turn a profit. In reality, we would
say that less than 100 of these systems actually allow you to turn a
profit. Today, the system we’ll be looking at is called the AOPR system.
Here is a online bookie software guide to using the AOPR system.
Long before the NCAA came out with the AP 25 ranking system, which set the stronger teams at the top of the pack and the weaker ones in the middle or near the bottom, good handicappers were using their own systems to determine the level of competition. The AOPR system, standing for average opponent power rating system, requires that the bettor look at the win loss record of the two teams in competition, as well as who is on each roster. This system simply looks at how your favorite team has fared when facing stronger competition.
For example, the Michigan Wolverines went 12 and one this season, but nine and four last season. The reason for the turn around is that the Wolverines were playing teams this season with a significantly lower AOPR score then they did a year ago in college football. As this example relates to the Michigan Wolverines basketball team, consider, that the Wolverines started the season out 14 and two. However, since playing in conference action, the Wolverines have gone one and five, because the competition has a higher AOPR ranking then the earlier competition.
But how do you determine the AOPR of your team based on their competition? Well, if the Wolverines play three games, then you would take the opponents scores add them then divide them by three. For instance, Duke owns a 92, Purdue an 83, and Arkansas an 89. The system would then require, that we combine Duke, Purdue and Arkansas AOPR’s and divide them by three, which would give us Michigan’s AOPR of 88. This tells us that Michigan is better then Purdue, as good as Arkansas but not as good as Duke.
Long before the NCAA came out with the AP 25 ranking system, which set the stronger teams at the top of the pack and the weaker ones in the middle or near the bottom, good handicappers were using their own systems to determine the level of competition. The AOPR system, standing for average opponent power rating system, requires that the bettor look at the win loss record of the two teams in competition, as well as who is on each roster. This system simply looks at how your favorite team has fared when facing stronger competition.
For example, the Michigan Wolverines went 12 and one this season, but nine and four last season. The reason for the turn around is that the Wolverines were playing teams this season with a significantly lower AOPR score then they did a year ago in college football. As this example relates to the Michigan Wolverines basketball team, consider, that the Wolverines started the season out 14 and two. However, since playing in conference action, the Wolverines have gone one and five, because the competition has a higher AOPR ranking then the earlier competition.
But how do you determine the AOPR of your team based on their competition? Well, if the Wolverines play three games, then you would take the opponents scores add them then divide them by three. For instance, Duke owns a 92, Purdue an 83, and Arkansas an 89. The system would then require, that we combine Duke, Purdue and Arkansas AOPR’s and divide them by three, which would give us Michigan’s AOPR of 88. This tells us that Michigan is better then Purdue, as good as Arkansas but not as good as Duke.
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